Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.6%). Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs Grant 52.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 83.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 62.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 64.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Matthews
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Matthews
Grant
Last 5: Matthews 4-1 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Grant
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
54.7% (397)
-2.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
62.5% (8)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
44.5% (110)
-7.0%
On power play, Grant has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Matthews is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Matthews shoots left. Grant is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Matthews
Grant
Home
54.3% (420)
53.6% (222)
Away
50.3% (491)
51.9% (293)
By Period
Matthews
Grant
P1
54.2%
48.5%
P2
54.3%
54.3%
P3
47.8%
55.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Derek Grant |