Auston Matthews vs Derek Stepan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 34 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Stepan 46.6% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 41-34 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 77.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 64.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 76.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Matthews
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
34
(75 meetings)
41
34
Matthews
Stepan
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
23
11
Matthews
Stepan
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
12
14
Matthews
Stepan
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
9
Matthews
Stepan
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
46.5% (10,204)
+7.5%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
48.8% (1,593)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
44.2% (1,368)
+5.6%
On even strength, Matthews has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stepan
Home
56.3% (5,065)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Matthews
Stepan
P1
55.5%
47.5%
P2
53.3%
45.6%
P3
52.8%
46.8%
OT
56.6%
40.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |