Auston Matthews vs Eetu Luostarinen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Luostarinen 47.2% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 64.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 82.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 77.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Matthews
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Matthews
Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
0
1
Matthews
Luostarinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Luostarinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
48.2% (56)
+11.6%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
36.4% (11)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
30.8% (13)
+25.5%
On power play, Matthews has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Luostarinen is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Matthews
Luostarinen
Home
60.0% (520)
40.7% (27)
Away
59.3% (452)
45.3% (53)
By Period
Matthews
Luostarinen
P1
60.2%
47.8%
P2
58.2%
39.1%
P3
60.4%
42.4%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |