Auston Matthews vs Eetu Luostarinen
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Luostarinen 43.4% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 78.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 65.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 69.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Matthews
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Matthews
Luostarinen
Last 9: Matthews 5-4 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
2
Matthews
Luostarinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Luostarinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Luostarinen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
41.4% (365)
+11.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
46.7% (15)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
44.7% (38)
+30.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Matthews
Luostarinen
Home
54.8% (515)
41.5% (207)
Away
50.2% (534)
42.2% (211)
By Period
Matthews
Luostarinen
P1
54.4%
38.2%
P2
50.4%
44.9%
P3
51.8%
42.9%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |