Auston Matthews vs Eetu Luostarinen
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.6%). Look for Luostarinen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Luostarinen 52.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 52.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 59.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Matthews
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Matthews
Luostarinen
Last 6: Matthews 3-3 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
2
Matthews
Luostarinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Luostarinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
53.6% (153)
-0.2%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
45.5% (11)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
60.0% (15)
-18.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Luostarinen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Matthews
Luostarinen
Home
56.5% (703)
53.3% (92)
Away
50.0% (616)
54.0% (87)
By Period
Matthews
Luostarinen
P1
52.1%
52.2%
P2
54.0%
49.1%
P3
54.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
62.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |