Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Staal 46.6% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 85.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 62.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Matthews
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Matthews
Staal
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Matthews
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
49.6% (565)
+3.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
35.0% (20)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
35.4% (158)
+39.6%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Matthews
Staal
Home
54.8% (515)
46.1% (380)
Away
50.2% (534)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Matthews
Staal
P1
54.4%
45.7%
P2
50.4%
46.2%
P3
51.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 08:02 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Eric Staal |