Auston Matthews vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Kuznetsov 47.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 77.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 71.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 82.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Kuznetsov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Kuznetsov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
47.7% (927)
+5.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
53.5% (71)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
39.4% (71)
+35.6%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Home
54.8% (515)
45.9% (534)
Away
50.2% (534)
49.2% (535)
By Period
Matthews
Kuznetsov
P1
54.4%
44.8%
P2
50.4%
52.1%
P3
51.8%
44.5%
OT
75.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |