Auston Matthews vs Evgeny Kuznetsov

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Auston Matthews holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 53.2% vs Kuznetsov 45.6% (+8.4%)
H2H factor Matthews leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Matthews 67.2%
Defensive zone Matthews 69.7%
Neutral zone Matthews 68.5%
Result Auston Matthews favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Matthews Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 5 (11 meetings)
6
5
Matthews Kuznetsov
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Kuznetsov

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
2
Matthews Kuznetsov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews Kuznetsov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews Kuznetsov
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
44.4% (613)
+9.0%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
58.8% (68)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
36.4% (66)
+5.5%
On even strength, Matthews has a +9.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Home
56.5% (703)
48.6% (370)
Away
50.0% (616)
41.4% (377)
By Period
Matthews
Kuznetsov
P1
52.1%
44.3%
P2
54.0%
49.6%
P3
54.0%
41.4%
OT
57.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.6%
41.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%
64.0%
53.4%
Kuznetsov
46.0%
44.0%
45.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 24, 2024 1 10:03 Defensive Evgeny Kuznetsov
Mar 16, 2024 2 02:26 Defensive Auston Matthews
Mar 16, 2024 1 13:11 Offensive Auston Matthews
Mar 16, 2024 1 09:59 Offensive Evgeny Kuznetsov
Oct 24, 2023 3 13:41 Defensive Auston Matthews
Oct 24, 2023 2 08:35 Defensive Evgeny Kuznetsov
Oct 24, 2023 2 06:29 Neutral Auston Matthews
Oct 24, 2023 2 02:45 Offensive Evgeny Kuznetsov
Oct 24, 2023 1 10:23 Neutral Auston Matthews
Oct 24, 2023 1 04:14 Neutral Evgeny Kuznetsov
Oct 24, 2023 1 00:00 Neutral Auston Matthews