Auston Matthews vs Evgeny Kuznetsov
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Kuznetsov 45.6% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 67.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 69.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 68.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
2
Matthews
Kuznetsov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Kuznetsov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Kuznetsov
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
44.4% (613)
+9.0%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
58.8% (68)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
36.4% (66)
+5.5%
On even strength, Matthews has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kuznetsov
Home
56.5% (703)
48.6% (370)
Away
50.0% (616)
41.4% (377)
By Period
Matthews
Kuznetsov
P1
52.1%
44.3%
P2
54.0%
49.6%
P3
54.0%
41.4%
OT
57.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.6%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |