Auston Matthews vs Isac Lundeström
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lundeström shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Lundeström 45.3% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 94.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 70.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 79.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Matthews
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Matthews
Lundeström
Last 5: Matthews 4-1 Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Lundeström
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Lundeström
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
47.8% (278)
+5.6%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
31.3% (16)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
34.8% (92)
+7.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Lundeström is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Matthews
Lundeström
Home
56.5% (703)
46.3% (190)
Away
50.0% (616)
41.8% (196)
By Period
Matthews
Lundeström
P1
52.1%
40.2%
P2
54.0%
44.3%
P3
54.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
54.6%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |