Auston Matthews vs Isac Lundeström
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lundeström shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Lundeström 47.5% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 79.6%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 75.9%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 55.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Matthews
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Matthews
Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Lundeström
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
1
Matthews
Lundeström
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
50.3% (626)
+8.0%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
60.0% (10)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
40.3% (300)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Matthews
Lundeström
Home
59.1% (528)
48.4% (504)
Away
55.1% (695)
45.8% (432)
By Period
Matthews
Lundeström
P1
56.2%
50.2%
P2
58.1%
43.5%
P3
56.4%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
55.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |