Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Thornton 46.2% (+12.2%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 53.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 50.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 50.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Matthews
Thornton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
43.5% (161)
+12.8%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
50.0% (14)
+7.5%
On even strength, Matthews has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Matthews
Thornton
Home
60.7% (572)
41.5% (106)
Away
52.4% (657)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Matthews
Thornton
P1
60.3%
50.8%
P2
55.6%
41.0%
P3
53.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%