Auston Matthews vs Joe Thornton
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.3%). Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Thornton 54.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 58.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 57.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 54.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Matthews
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Matthews
Thornton
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
2
Matthews
Thornton
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
53.5% (6,640)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
57.2% (1,387)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
56.7% (427)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Matthews
Thornton
Home
56.3% (5,065)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Matthews
Thornton
P1
55.5%
55.0%
P2
53.3%
53.3%
P3
52.8%
54.4%
OT
56.6%
56.4%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |