Auston Matthews vs Jonathan Marchessault
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Marchessault 46.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 63.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 68.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 61.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Matthews
Marchessault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Matthews
Marchessault
Last 6: Matthews 4-2 Marchessault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Marchessault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Marchessault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
1
2
Matthews
Marchessault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
47.5% (181)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
39.5% (86)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
66.7% (3)
-52.4%
On penalty kill, Marchessault has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Matthews is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Matthews shoots left. Marchessault is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Matthews
Marchessault
Home
48.4% (562)
48.5% (136)
Away
45.3% (570)
41.8% (134)
By Period
Matthews
Marchessault
P1
51.3%
54.8%
P2
44.5%
43.9%
P3
44.6%
39.1%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |