Auston Matthews vs Jonathan Marchessault
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +31.4% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Marchessault 40.1% (+31.4%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 60.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 81.2%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 51.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Matthews
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
25.4% (63)
+32.9%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
25.0% (4)
+30.7%
On even strength, Matthews has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Marchessault is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Matthews
Marchessault
Home
59.1% (528)
30.0% (30)
Away
55.1% (695)
21.6% (37)
By Period
Matthews
Marchessault
P1
56.2%
15.6%
P2
58.1%
34.6%
P3
56.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
25.4%