Auston Matthews vs Jonny Brodzinski
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brodzinski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Brodzinski 50.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 72.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 77.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 75.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Matthews
Brodzinski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Matthews
Brodzinski
Last 5: Matthews 4-1 Brodzinski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Brodzinski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Brodzinski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Brodzinski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Brodzinski
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
48.8% (293)
+4.6%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
62.1% (29)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
100.0% (1)
-58.1%
On penalty kill, Brodzinski has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodzinski shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Brodzinski is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Matthews
Brodzinski
Home
56.5% (703)
54.2% (144)
Away
50.0% (616)
46.9% (179)
By Period
Matthews
Brodzinski
P1
52.1%
49.5%
P2
54.0%
45.5%
P3
54.0%
55.8%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |