Auston Matthews vs Jonny Brodzinski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brodzinski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Brodzinski 50.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 88.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 84.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 86.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Matthews
Brodzinski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Matthews
Brodzinski
Last 7: Matthews 6-1 Brodzinski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Brodzinski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Brodzinski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Brodzinski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Brodzinski
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
50.0% (692)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
52.9% (51)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
46.2% (13)
+3.6%
On even strength, Matthews has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodzinski shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Brodzinski is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Matthews
Brodzinski
Home
56.3% (5,065)
50.7% (353)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
49.6% (403)
By Period
Matthews
Brodzinski
P1
55.5%
48.2%
P2
53.3%
48.9%
P3
52.8%
53.4%
OT
56.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:38 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Jonny Brodzinski |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |