Auston Matthews vs Justin Sourdif
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Sourdif 45.9% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 65.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 57.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 69.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Matthews
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Matthews
Sourdif
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
4
Matthews
Sourdif
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Sourdif
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sourdif
3
5
Matthews
Sourdif
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
44.6% (556)
+15.2%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
50.0% (24)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
61.5% (13)
-5.2%
On even strength, Matthews has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Matthews
Sourdif
Home
60.0% (520)
43.6% (321)
Away
59.3% (452)
47.1% (272)
By Period
Matthews
Sourdif
P1
60.2%
43.1%
P2
58.2%
43.9%
P3
60.4%
48.6%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:37 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |