Auston Matthews vs Justin Sourdif
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Sourdif 45.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 76.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 52.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 70.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Matthews
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Matthews
Sourdif
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
4
Matthews
Sourdif
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Sourdif
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sourdif
3
5
Matthews
Sourdif
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
44.6% (556)
+9.4%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
50.0% (24)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
61.5% (13)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Matthews
Sourdif
Home
56.3% (5,065)
43.6% (321)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
47.1% (272)
By Period
Matthews
Sourdif
P1
55.5%
43.1%
P2
53.3%
43.9%
P3
52.8%
48.6%
OT
56.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:37 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Justin Sourdif |