Auston Matthews vs Kirill Marchenko
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +25.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Marchenko shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Marchenko 44.7% (+25.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchenko 69.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.6%
Neutral zone
Marchenko 62.2%
Result
Kirill Marchenko favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Matthews
Marchenko
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Matthews
Marchenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchenko
0
1
Matthews
Marchenko
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Marchenko
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
34.2% (38)
+24.1%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
0.0% (3)
+55.7%
On power play, Matthews has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchenko shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Marchenko is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
Matthews
Marchenko
Home
59.1% (528)
30.0% (20)
Away
55.1% (695)
33.3% (21)
By Period
Matthews
Marchenko
P1
56.2%
47.4%
P2
58.1%
13.3%
P3
56.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
55.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Marchenko
34.0%▼
35.7%
31.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Kirill Marchenko |