Auston Matthews vs Leon Draisaitl
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 65.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 85.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 62.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Matthews
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Matthews
Draisaitl
Last 6: Matthews 4-2 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Matthews
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
53.7% (923)
+4.6%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
56.1% (244)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
58.6% (29)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Matthews
Draisaitl
Home
59.1% (528)
55.2% (636)
Away
55.1% (695)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Matthews
Draisaitl
P1
56.2%
50.8%
P2
58.1%
56.6%
P3
56.4%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
67.9%
Final 5 min
55.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |