Auston Matthews vs Leon Draisaitl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.3%). Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (53% H2H, 45 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 64-63 in 127 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 53.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 50.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 52.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Matthews
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
63
(127 meetings)
64
63
Matthews
Draisaitl
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
20
20
Matthews
Draisaitl
40 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
20
22
Matthews
Draisaitl
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
24
21
Matthews
Draisaitl
45 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
52.9% (10,240)
+1.1%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
55.7% (2,827)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
51.2% (977)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
Matthews
Draisaitl
Home
56.3% (5,065)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Matthews
Draisaitl
P1
55.5%
52.7%
P2
53.3%
53.6%
P3
52.8%
53.4%
OT
56.6%
57.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |