Auston Matthews vs Macklin Celebrini
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Celebrini 48.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 86.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 89.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 89.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Matthews
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Matthews
Celebrini
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
4
Matthews
Celebrini
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
9
2
Matthews
Celebrini
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
2
Matthews
Celebrini
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
47.5% (2,040)
+6.5%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
55.0% (258)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
57.9% (38)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Celebrini is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,597).
Home / Away
Matthews
Celebrini
Home
56.3% (5,065)
48.4% (1,198)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
48.5% (1,138)
By Period
Matthews
Celebrini
P1
55.5%
47.1%
P2
53.3%
46.7%
P3
52.8%
51.8%
OT
56.6%
45.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Celebrini
42.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 27, 2025 | OT | 04:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2025 | OT | 01:12 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |