Auston Matthews vs Mavrik Bourque

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Auston Matthews holds a +20.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 53.2% vs Bourque 49.1% (+20.1%)
Offensive zone Matthews 53.1%
Defensive zone Matthews 68.3%
Neutral zone Matthews 54.2%
Result Auston Matthews favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Matthews Bourque
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Matthews
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
33.3% (6)
+20.1%
On even strength, Matthews has a +20.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Bourque is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (4).
By Period
Matthews
Bourque
P1
52.1%
0.0%
P2
54.0%
50.0%
P3
54.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
0.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%
64.0%
53.4%
Bourque
50.0%
46.0%
33.3%