Auston Matthews vs Nicklas Backstrom
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Backstrom 49.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 89.2%
Defensive zone
Matthews 69.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 82.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Matthews
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Matthews
Backstrom
Last 5: Matthews 4-1 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
0
Matthews
Backstrom
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Matthews
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
50.0% (854)
+5.1%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
44.6% (148)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
50.0% (46)
+0.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Backstrom is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Matthews
Backstrom
Home
57.0% (440)
52.2% (506)
Away
53.1% (480)
46.5% (542)
By Period
Matthews
Backstrom
P1
54.0%
45.3%
P2
55.1%
46.9%
P3
56.4%
55.5%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |