Auston Matthews vs Nicklas Backstrom
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Backstrom 51.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 65.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 57.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 64.3%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Matthews
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Matthews
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Matthews
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Matthews
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
53.2% (77)
+0.2%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
50.0% (6)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
0.0% (1)
+41.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Backstrom is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Matthews
Backstrom
Home
56.5% (703)
54.5% (55)
Away
50.0% (616)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Matthews
Backstrom
P1
52.1%
50.0%
P2
54.0%
52.9%
P3
54.0%
55.0%
OT
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |