Auston Matthews vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Backstrom 50.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 20-14 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 63.8%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 63.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 63.8%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Matthews
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
20
(34 meetings)
14
20
Matthews
Backstrom
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
9
4
Matthews
Backstrom
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
5
Matthews
Backstrom
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
11
Matthews
Backstrom
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
50.4% (11,581)
+3.6%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
52.3% (1,895)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
47.0% (889)
+2.8%
On even strength, Matthews has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
Matthews
Backstrom
Home
56.3% (5,065)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Matthews
Backstrom
P1
55.5%
50.1%
P2
53.3%
49.7%
P3
52.8%
51.6%
OT
56.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |