Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Hischier 51.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 84.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 70.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 78.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Matthews
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Matthews
Hischier
Last 10: Matthews 8-2 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
50.1% (789)
+5.0%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
58.9% (151)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
57.5% (40)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Hischier is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hischier
Home
57.0% (440)
53.7% (445)
Away
53.1% (480)
50.1% (535)
By Period
Matthews
Hischier
P1
54.0%
52.6%
P2
55.1%
49.8%
P3
56.4%
52.8%
OT
42.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |