Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Hischier 56.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 55.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 59.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 57.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Matthews
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Matthews
Hischier
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
5
Matthews
Hischier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
3
Matthews
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
56.1% (1,018)
-2.7%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
59.9% (289)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
51.3% (80)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hischier
Home
56.5% (703)
56.5% (706)
Away
50.0% (616)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Matthews
Hischier
P1
52.1%
54.8%
P2
54.0%
57.8%
P3
54.0%
57.6%
OT
57.7%
14.3%
Final 5 min
54.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |