Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 24 meetings). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Hischier 55.2% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 27-19 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 63.8%
Defensive zone
Hischier 64.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 64.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Matthews
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
27
(46 meetings)
19
27
Matthews
Hischier
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
10
14
Matthews
Hischier
24 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Matthews
Hischier
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
8
Matthews
Hischier
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
55.8% (1,228)
+2.5%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
62.1% (282)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
47.6% (267)
+3.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Matthews
Hischier
Home
59.1% (528)
56.5% (867)
Away
55.1% (695)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Matthews
Hischier
P1
56.2%
57.9%
P2
58.1%
55.9%
P3
56.4%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |