Auston Matthews vs Sean Couturier
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.8% vs 56.1%). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Couturier 55.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 52.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 75.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 64.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Matthews
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Matthews
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
55.1% (1,008)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
64.1% (142)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
53.3% (45)
-2.6%
On power play, Couturier has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Matthews
Couturier
Home
59.1% (528)
58.1% (609)
Away
55.1% (695)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Matthews
Couturier
P1
56.2%
55.3%
P2
58.1%
55.8%
P3
56.4%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |