Auston Matthews vs Sean Couturier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Couturier 53.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 57.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 76.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 59.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Matthews
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Matthews
Couturier
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
6
Matthews
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
53.4% (758)
+6.4%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
62.9% (70)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
50.7% (227)
+5.6%
On even strength, Matthews has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Matthews
Couturier
Home
60.0% (520)
50.7% (517)
Away
59.3% (452)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Matthews
Couturier
P1
60.2%
55.2%
P2
58.2%
53.0%
P3
60.4%
53.3%
OT
70.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |