Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.1%). Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Blueger 52.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 83.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 66.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Matthews
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Matthews
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
54.2% (590)
-0.8%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
71.4% (14)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
48.0% (177)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Blueger has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Matthews
Blueger
Home
56.5% (703)
53.2% (378)
Away
50.0% (616)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Matthews
Blueger
P1
52.1%
54.3%
P2
54.0%
56.7%
P3
54.0%
48.9%
OT
57.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |