Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Blueger 50.2% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 51.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 57.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Matthews
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Matthews
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
53.3% (745)
+5.0%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
45.5% (11)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
41.7% (259)
+9.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Matthews
Blueger
Home
59.1% (528)
53.4% (504)
Away
55.1% (695)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Matthews
Blueger
P1
56.2%
46.6%
P2
58.1%
53.0%
P3
56.4%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |