Barclay Goodrow vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.3% vs McDavid 47.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 75.9%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 72.5%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 52.4%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Goodrow
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Goodrow
McDavid
Last 10: Goodrow 4-6 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Goodrow
McDavid
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
6
Goodrow
McDavid
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Goodrow
McDavid
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,091)
47.7% (8,358)
+4.6%
Power Play
46.7% (180)
52.0% (371)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (940)
43.4% (279)
+1.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Goodrow is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,655).
Goodrow shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
Home / Away
Goodrow
McDavid
Home
51.9% (2,109)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
48.8% (2,102)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Goodrow
McDavid
P1
50.5%
46.5%
P2
49.2%
48.7%
P3
51.3%
48.3%
OT
35.7%
40.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
50.3%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 3, 2022 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |