Barclay Goodrow vs Connor McDavid
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.8% vs McDavid 47.9% (-5.9%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 59.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 51.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Goodrow
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
47.5% (650)
-8.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
48.6% (72)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
46.5% (43)
+13.5%
On power play, McDavid has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Goodrow
McDavid
Home
36.0% (25)
50.2% (400)
Away
54.5% (11)
44.7% (365)
By Period
Goodrow
McDavid
P1
46.2%
47.5%
P2
30.8%
48.6%
P3
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
22.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
41.7%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%