Barclay Goodrow vs Connor McDavid
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Goodrow wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs McDavid 51.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 85.4%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 65.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.0%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Goodrow
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Goodrow
McDavid
Last 8: Goodrow 3-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
4
Goodrow
McDavid
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
51.6% (803)
+3.9%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
50.0% (40)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
36.4% (22)
+8.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Goodrow is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Goodrow shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Goodrow
McDavid
Home
57.2% (332)
51.8% (415)
Away
50.3% (292)
50.4% (450)
By Period
Goodrow
McDavid
P1
50.8%
47.5%
P2
59.5%
51.6%
P3
51.8%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
54.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |