Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.1% vs Stepan 47.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 72.0%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 79.9%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 73.5%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Goodrow
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Goodrow
Stepan
Last 7: Goodrow 5-2 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
0
Goodrow
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
2
1
Goodrow
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (450)
46.8% (991)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
48.8% (211)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (94)
48.3% (174)
+0.6%
On power play, Goodrow has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Goodrow is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Goodrow shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Stepan
Home
58.3% (252)
48.6% (666)
Away
49.8% (299)
46.1% (710)
By Period
Goodrow
Stepan
P1
51.7%
46.3%
P2
57.4%
50.7%
P3
52.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
53.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |