Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Stepan 54.8% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 50.6%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 57.3%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 56.3%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Goodrow
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Goodrow
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
54.5% (374)
-5.2%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
0.0% (2)
+64.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
64.7% (68)
-18.5%
On power play, Goodrow has a +64.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Goodrow is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Goodrow shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Stepan
Home
50.6% (385)
54.5% (222)
Away
48.0% (356)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Goodrow
Stepan
P1
49.1%
57.5%
P2
46.9%
54.7%
P3
52.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |