Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 46.5% vs Evans 51.7% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 64.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 50.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 56.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Goodrow
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Goodrow
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (472)
54.5% (483)
-7.7%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
58.3% (12)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
43.9% (155)
-1.2%
On power play, Evans has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Goodrow is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Goodrow shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Evans
Home
44.3% (314)
49.4% (336)
Away
47.7% (279)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Goodrow
Evans
P1
46.8%
55.8%
P2
44.0%
51.7%
P3
47.1%
48.2%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
45.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |