Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Evans 52.6% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 74.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 72.0%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 55.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Goodrow
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Goodrow
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
54.4% (824)
-4.4%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
66.7% (9)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
48.1% (289)
-17.7%
On power play, Evans has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Goodrow is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Goodrow shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Evans
Home
40.0% (130)
55.1% (541)
Away
45.9% (122)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Goodrow
Evans
P1
48.8%
51.8%
P2
35.0%
53.3%
P3
44.8%
53.8%
OT
33.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
45.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
42.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Jake Evans |