Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Goodrow wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 49.5% vs Carter 56.4% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Goodrow 80.0%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 74.7%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 75.7%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Goodrow
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Goodrow
Carter
Last 10: Goodrow 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Goodrow
Carter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
4
Goodrow
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Goodrow
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (481)
57.9% (885)
-8.6%
Power Play
64.6% (48)
61.7% (133)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (212)
45.4% (119)
+0.8%
On even strength, Carter has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Goodrow is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Goodrow shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Carter
Home
50.6% (385)
58.2% (543)
Away
48.0% (356)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Goodrow
Carter
P1
49.1%
57.5%
P2
46.9%
57.1%
P3
52.3%
55.8%
OT
0.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
49.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |