Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.3% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 25-15 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Goodrow 71.5%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 85.8%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 73.7%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Goodrow
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
25
(40 meetings)
15
25
Goodrow
Carter
Last 10: Goodrow 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
10
Goodrow
Carter
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
11
Goodrow
Carter
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
4
Goodrow
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,091)
53.3% (8,728)
-1.0%
Power Play
46.7% (180)
57.3% (1,554)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (940)
46.3% (1,087)
-1.9%
On power play, Carter has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Goodrow is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,556).
Goodrow shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Carter
Home
51.9% (2,109)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
48.8% (2,102)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Goodrow
Carter
P1
50.5%
53.6%
P2
49.2%
52.8%
P3
51.3%
53.1%
OT
35.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
52.0%▲
39.5%
50.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |