Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lizotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Lizotte 50.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 83.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 66.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 56.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Hayton
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Lizotte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
52.9% (342)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
25.0% (4)
+31.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
43.1% (130)
-6.3%
On power play, Hayton has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Hayton
Lizotte
Home
56.9% (432)
44.2% (242)
Away
47.4% (344)
56.0% (234)
By Period
Hayton
Lizotte
P1
53.1%
49.6%
P2
50.3%
46.9%
P3
55.4%
52.6%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |