Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.2%). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lizotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Lizotte 51.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 50.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 55.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 50.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Hayton
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hayton
Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Lizotte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
1
Hayton
Lizotte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
52.5% (707)
-1.5%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
46.2% (13)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
41.4% (87)
+3.6%
On power play, Hayton has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Hayton
Lizotte
Home
54.6% (639)
51.4% (383)
Away
47.2% (591)
50.9% (424)
By Period
Hayton
Lizotte
P1
50.9%
48.8%
P2
52.7%
51.0%
P3
49.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |