Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Lizotte 47.5% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 51.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 56.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Hayton
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hayton
Lizotte
Last 7: Hayton 3-4 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Lizotte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
2
Hayton
Lizotte
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
2
Hayton
Lizotte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
47.9% (313)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
33.3% (6)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
41.3% (46)
+1.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Hayton
Lizotte
Home
47.4% (171)
48.8% (170)
Away
51.4% (247)
45.1% (195)
By Period
Hayton
Lizotte
P1
49.6%
44.4%
P2
50.0%
53.3%
P3
49.0%
43.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |