Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.1%). Hayton wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.6% vs Jenner 51.9% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 61.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 62.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 54.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Hayton
Jenner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (483)
51.9% (131)
+0.7%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
54.5% (22)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
66.7% (9)
-31.0%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Hayton is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Hayton shoots left. Jenner is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Hayton
Jenner
Home
57.8% (301)
49.4% (83)
Away
47.7% (266)
57.0% (79)
By Period
Hayton
Jenner
P1
52.6%
48.1%
P2
49.3%
50.0%
P3
58.1%
60.3%
Final 5 min
59.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
53.1%
Jenner
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.1%