Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Jenner 50.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 52.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 60.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 57.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Hayton
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Jenner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
49.8% (227)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
52.2% (23)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
52.9% (17)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Hayton
Jenner
Home
56.9% (432)
51.0% (143)
Away
47.4% (344)
49.2% (124)
By Period
Hayton
Jenner
P1
53.1%
51.7%
P2
50.3%
40.5%
P3
55.4%
57.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |