Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Jenner 54.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 52.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 52.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.2%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Hayton
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hayton
Jenner
Last 6: Hayton 3-3 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
2
Hayton
Jenner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Jenner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
0
1
Hayton
Jenner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
54.2% (999)
-3.2%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
60.0% (240)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
49.7% (147)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Hayton
Jenner
Home
54.6% (639)
56.7% (693)
Away
47.2% (591)
52.7% (693)
By Period
Hayton
Jenner
P1
50.9%
57.1%
P2
52.7%
54.1%
P3
49.9%
53.0%
OT
41.7%
61.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | OT | 01:36 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |