Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Coyle 48.8% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 86.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 57.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 74.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Hayton
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Hayton
Coyle
Last 8: Hayton 6-2 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
0
Hayton
Coyle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Hayton
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
49.5% (576)
+3.1%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
54.2% (48)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
43.4% (145)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Hayton
Coyle
Home
53.9% (516)
47.4% (409)
Away
54.4% (504)
50.0% (360)
By Period
Hayton
Coyle
P1
55.1%
50.8%
P2
55.0%
46.0%
P3
51.7%
48.4%
OT
69.2%
64.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |