Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Coyle 50.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 62.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 73.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Hayton
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hayton
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
3
Hayton
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
52.3% (811)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
44.3% (61)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
44.8% (181)
-8.0%
On power play, Hayton has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Hayton
Coyle
Home
56.9% (432)
49.0% (537)
Away
47.4% (344)
52.1% (516)
By Period
Hayton
Coyle
P1
53.1%
48.7%
P2
50.3%
49.6%
P3
55.4%
53.1%
OT
25.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |